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Gold Climbs to Two-Month Peak as US Inflation Data Lowers Rate Hike Odds

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Financial Arabia NewsDesk is the desk responsible for Financial Arabia's daily news coverage, monitoring and reporting developments across the Gulf from official sources, including national news...

Reuters reported that spot gold rose 0.6 percent to $4,433.62 an ounce after earlier climbing about 1 percent to its highest level since June 5. The wire service added that the advance came as investors scaled back bets on a US rate increase following readings that showed moderating price pressures. US gold futures for December delivery gained a similar 0.6 percent to $4,493, completing the immediate market response.

A Reuters dispatch noted that participants were now looking ahead to producer price data due later in the session for additional direction on the inflation path. Trading Economics figures drawn from the Bureau of Labor Statistics placed the June producer prices increase at 5.5 percent year on year, the softest gain in three months. The statistical office has set the July PPI release for August 13, providing a timely update on factory-gate costs.

The consumer price index released a day earlier matched economist forecasts, a development that CNBC linked to bolstered expectations the Federal Reserve would leave rates unchanged in September. Reuters coverage of the prior week’s labor data showed an unexpected decline in nonfarm payrolls that had already begun to ease overheating worries. Cleveland Fed indicators updated August 12 put 10-year inflation expectations at 2.49 percent.

Spot silver climbed around 1 percent to $65.91 an ounce, having reached its highest mark since June 22 in the previous session, according to the same Reuters update. Platinum added 0.3 percent to $1,762.70 an ounce and palladium rose 0.1 percent to $1,371.20, the report detailed. Such coordinated gains across the precious metals group underscored the sector’s sensitivity to shifting monetary policy outlooks.

Reuters analysis has consistently shown that gold performs well when rate hike probabilities decline, since lower borrowing costs reduce the carrying expense of non-interest-bearing assets. The Federal Open Market Committee minutes from June indicated that participants saw no immediate rate adjustment, with easing priced into later periods. This stance has helped sustain bullish sentiment in bullion markets through the summer.

Renewed buying followed the July employment report that fell short of projections, a Reuters assessment found. The metal’s trajectory reflects broader investor positioning amid mixed global economic signals, although precise year-to-date returns were not specified in the dispatches. Officials at the Fed continue to weigh incoming data before committing to any policy shift at upcoming meetings.

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Financial Arabia NewsDesk is the desk responsible for Financial Arabia's daily news coverage, monitoring and reporting developments across the Gulf from official sources, including national news agencies and government communications. Its focus is accurate, timely and factual coverage of the region.