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Inflation Surprise Lifts US Dollar to Two-Week High Against Key Currencies

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Emirates News Agency reported that the U.S. dollar strengthened to a two-week high against major currencies following the release of U.S. consumer price data that exceeded forecasts. The October consumer price index rose 0.4 percent, above the 0.3 percent gain anticipated in a Reuters poll of economists. This outcome bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve would tighten policy sooner than previously thought.

According to Reuters, the dollar index rose 0.57 percent to 102.26 while the euro fell 0.55 percent to $1.116. The dollar gained 0.55 percent against the Japanese yen to reach 158.80 and advanced 0.71 percent versus the Swiss franc to 0.8252. The Australian and New Zealand dollars also declined as traders rotated away from risk-sensitive currencies.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller had stated earlier that the central bank should raise short-term borrowing costs next month, a position the inflation data appeared to support. Steve Englander, global head of G10 FX research and North American macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank, told Reuters that the market was caught off guard by how the figures aligned with those hawkish comments. CME’s FedWatch tool showed markets pricing in a nearly 91 percent chance of a rate hike in December following the release.

The 2-year Treasury note yield jumped 18.44 basis points to 4.731 percent in line with the shifting rate outlook, Reuters data shows. Higher yields typically draw capital toward U.S. assets and add further support to the dollar. The inflation reading also contributed to a drop in gold prices, which fell more than 2 percent as the greenback gained safe-haven appeal.

This latest advance fits a pattern of dollar strength seen through much of 2026, during which the currency has responded to persistent inflation pressures and fluctuating expectations around Federal Reserve decisions. Bloomberg reports indicate the dollar index reached its highest level since May 2025 on earlier comparable data surprises. Currency strategists continue to watch forthcoming indicators to assess whether the current momentum will be sustained.

Oil prices fell to fresh two-month lows after the data, with U.S. crude declining about 1.4 percent, as the focus shifted firmly to monetary policy. Reuters noted that the combination of sticky inflation and potential policy tightening has dominated currency market movements in recent sessions. Traders have adjusted positions in response across major exchanges.

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Financial Arabia NewsDesk is the desk responsible for Financial Arabia's daily news coverage, monitoring and reporting developments across the Gulf from official sources, including national news agencies and government communications. Its focus is accurate, timely and factual coverage of the region.